Strange things happen can happen at the end of football seasons when half the league isn’t even attempting to put forth their best effort, but it certainly looks like the Indianapolis Colts have this race locked up.
The Colts hold a three-game lead in the loss column over their four closest competitors. And if the Colts can’t beat the Jaguars at home, it’s tough to see how they’re going to pull off two wins in their final six games.
Andrew Luck, start packing your bags for Indy…
Posted on November 15, 2011
With the Miami Dolphins win over the Chiefs, the Indianapolis Colts are now the only winless team in the Suck for Luck race and hold a two-game lead in the loss column over the Dophins and Rams.
Not all hope is lost for the Dolphins, however. They maintain possession of the 2nd pick and their SOS is close enough to the Colts that, should they finish in a tie, the Dolphins could still wind up with the first overall selection.
The race could really get interesting this weekend as the Colts host the Jaguars, in what figures to be their best chance to pick up a win this season.
Posted on November 9, 2011
The Colts remain the favorites in the Suck for Luck campaign, but the Arizona Cardinals are suddenly very much alive in this race.
If the Cardinals finish tied for the worst record in the league, it appears likely that they would win a tie breaker with anyone in the league based on their weak strength of schedule. The Cardinals and Redskins are the only two teams in the bottom ten with a SOS under .500, but the Redskins currently have a two-game lead over the Cards.
So if the Cardinals end up with the top pick, do they take Luck? They have an awful lot invested in Kevin Kolb already…
Posted on November 1, 2011
The Colts remain in the lead, and with each passing week it becomes more clear that Andrew Luck is going to land in Indianapolis or Miami.
Each of the other three teams in the bottom five are set at quarterback.
St. Louis and Minnesota are clearly not in the Luck sweepstakes, having invested 1st-round picks in quarterbacks over the past two seasons (although I wouldn’t blame the Vikings if they decided to give up on Ponder in favor of Luck).
The Arizona situation is slightly different because Kevin Kolb is already 27 years old, but they also just signed him to a six-year $65M contract. Only $21.5M is guaranteed, but they’re not going to give up on Kolb after one season after that type of investment.
Asside from the Colts and Dolphins, the Seahawks (currently 8th) and Broncos (10th) are the only other teams in the bottom 10 that may have an interest in Luck.
Posted on October 25, 2011
The Indianapolis Colts have extended their lead in the Suck for Luck sweepstakes.
Not only do they have a one-game lead in the loss column over both the Dolphins and Rams, but they hold a considerable lead in the strength of schedule tie breaker.
While any number of teams could still finish with the worst record, the battle for Luck appears to be coming down to the Colts and Dolphins. The current ownders of picks two through six have already drafted quarterbacks in the 1st round in either 2010 or 2011.
Posted on October 18, 2011
And then there were three…
With the Vikings win over the Cardinals they fell from 4th to 9th and now appear to be a longshot to earn the No. 1 pick due to the fact that they currently own the most difficult strength of the schedule in the league.
The Colts and Rams, thanks to playing in two of the weakest divisions in football, remain the favorites.
The Dolphins are still in the mix, but will likely need to win the top pick outright due to their SOS. With the Patriots, Jets and Bills all looking like playoff contenders, the Dolphins figure to end the season with one of the more difficult schedules.
Tonight’s Bears-Lions game has no impact on the winless teams, but with a Lions victory the almighty Philadelphia Eagles would fall into a tie with the Jaguars for the 5th pick.
Technically the Rams own the No. 1 pick through four weeks, but due to some guy named Bradford I think we can safely say the Colts are the current leader in the Suck For Luck race.
If for some reason the Colts declined to select Manning’s heir, the Dolphins new coach would surely jump at the chance to take Luck with the 3rd pick.