Breakdown of Brady Quinn
by Augustine Dashiell
June 5, 2007

When the college football season ended, the talk was that there are 2 quarterbacks in the draft that are “franchise quarterbacks”, JaMarcus Russell and Brady Quinn. The argument was never which QB is better, but the argument focused mainly on Brady Quinn. Is he really a “franchise quarterback”? The argument is hard to understand, because all of his games were on national television (thanks NBC), and the results were so wide open for everyone to see. If you listen the “Golden Domers”, then your vote would go along with Charlie Weis' quote on Sirius that Quinn is “a combination of Tom Brady and Peyton Manning ”, if that was the case, then there wouldn't be a debate about the talents of Brady. Before we let the numbers speak, let's give parameters of the term “franchise quarterback”.

For the sake of this conversation, let's say there are three areas in which qb's have to excel in order to be “franchise quarterbacks”. The areas are:
a) play against inferior competition (below .500)
b) play against good competition (above .500)
c) play in “big” games (for Notre Dame; bowl games and USC)

In 18 games vs. below .500 teams
Comp.
Att.
Yards
TDs
INT
Wins
Losses
366
589
5066
49
14
16
2

In these games, Brady Quinn did everything a “franchise quarterback” should do. The completion percentage of 62% is very impressive as the 281 yards per game. The stat that deserves the most attention is the 89% winning percentage. Brady did play in a couple of games against .500 teams with mixed results as the stats below show:

In 2 games vs. .500 teams
Comp.
Att.
Yards
TDs
INT
Wins
Losses
50
75
666
7
2
1
1

Again the completion percentage is impressive, coming in at 66%, and the 333 yards a game, shows that Brady can light it up against this level of competition. The winning percentage leaves a little to be desired, but we can't blame Brady in this situation, he played well.

The situation begins to change as the competition stiffens for Brady and the Irish. As the completion rises, Brady's production seemed to go downward.

In 28 games vs. over .500 teams
Comp.
Att.
Yards
TDs
INT
Wins
Losses
544
941
6044
42
26
12
16

Brady's completion percentage slipped to 58%, as well as his yards per game dipping down to 216. The alarming stat is the winning percentage which fell to a meager 43%. We must remember the 12 wins came against Navy 4 wins, Michigan 2 wins, and 1 win coming from Purdue, Pitt , Tennessee , Georgia Tech, Penn St. and UCLA.

The most important trait a “franchise quarterback must have is his ability to come through in the “big” games. Let's look at the production in those games (3 bowl games and 4 games vs. USC):

In 7 Big Games
Comp.
Att.
Yards
TDs
INT
Wins
Losses
132
232
1459
10
3
0
7

While the completion percentage was a solid 52%, the yards per game average dipped even more to 208 yards per game. It can be argued that he should get a pass on the winning percentage, because in those games Notre Dame were simple overmatched talent wise, but “franchise quarterbacks should overcome that at least a few times in his career.

As the draft unfolded, the NFL personnel people made their opinion clear; Brady Quinn wasn't an automatic 1st rounder. That forces one to wonder, what was all of the debating about? It is too early to tell if Brady Quinn is or isn't a “franchise quarterback”, but the numbers do point a certain way, let's hope for Cleveland's sake Brady can turn his past performances around and become that “franchise quarterback” that they caused them to trade away next year's 1 st round pick.

for more articles from Augustine visit his page at Suite101

Google
 
All information on this site is copyright of DraftAce.com Any reproduction of any material on DraftAce.com is strictly prohibited. DraftAce.com is in no way connected with the NFL or NCAA or any other organization or website. All logos are copyright of their respective teams and the NFL or NCAA. For official information about the NFL and the teams visit NFL.com This is an independent, opinion based website.
Please contact Ryan@DraftAce.com with any questions.